Friday, April 26, 2013

2013 NFL Draft Part 3: The Mock


Round 2, Pick 56   Brandon Williams, DT, Missouri Southern State, 6’1, 335
At pick 56 it is extremely difficult to know who will be available, let alone who the Seahawks will be interested in. I could make a list of my top 50 players in the draft and have not a single one available at the ‘Hawks first pick. So with this pick I decided to go with a small school prospect who will fit in at the Hawks biggest area of need.
Williams is a monster tackle at nearly 340 pounds, but has good speed and quickness considering his frame. He gets off the ball relatively quickly and is able to generate some push as an interior pass rusher. He certainly would be an upgrade to Alan Branch as a pass rusher. He doesn’t have ideal lower body strength though, despite his massive upper body.
Williams would need to have his snaps monitored due to limited endurance. He would likely be able to play somewhere around 20-30 snaps a game as a rookie and hopefully develop into a 35-40 snap player in the NFL.
Round 3, Pick 87   Brennan Williams, OT, North Carolina, 6’6, 318
One of the ‘Hawks biggest needs coming into this upcoming draft is to strengthen up their offensive line. Breno Giacomini will be entering his contract year and isn’t a good enough player to warrant a big money contract. Picking a tackle like Brennan Williams to sit his rookie year and eventually move into the right tackle spot could provide big value for the Seahawks down the road.
This short paragraph from ESPN’s evaluation of Williams perfectly describes what the Seahawks look for in offensive linemen:
Aggressive and physical and plays with a nasty demeanor. Will mix it up. Flashes a mean streak and looks to finish.
Williams is first and foremost an aggressive and physical, “road grader”, run blocker, which is what Tom Cable likes to see from offensive linemen. Williams doesn’t have elite quickness and footwork to consistently mirror speed rushers in the NFL, but with some work on his footwork, could develop into a better pass protector than Giacomini.
Williams would likely spend 2013 on the bench and get his first real shot in 2014, when Giacomini is a free agent. Williams could likely develop into an above average young starter at right tackle for the Seahawks.

Round 4, Pick 123   Matt Scott, QB, Arizona, 6’2, 213
While I believe the Seahawks have bigger needs (such as Weakside linebacker) with this pick, I fail to see any player at linebacker that has the potential as a quarterback such as Matt Scott. It’s very important when you have a good starting QB to also have a quality backup. None of the two backups to Russell Wilson on the roster right now (Brady Quinn and Josh Portis) are too fantastic right now.
Scott showed his athleticism at the combine, timing at 4.63 seconds in the 40 yard dash. While at Arizona, Scott played in a spread offense that utilized that read option, and would be able to play in the zone-read elements of the Seahawks offense. As a thrower, Scott has slightly above average arm strength and above average accuracy and touch. He was only a starter for one year in Arizona, though, and will need to learn to make the reads that a pro style offense demands.
Scott would be brought in to compete with Brady Quinn and Josh Portis for the backup quarterback job. If he won, he would be stuck on the bench for his whole Seahawks career unless something unfortunate happened to Wilson. Still, Scott is the type of reliable backup the ‘Hawks need behind their young star.

Round 5, Pick 138   Malliciah Goodman, DE, Clemson, 6’4, 276
Pete Carroll talks about how you can never have too many pass rushers. Goodman would just be another pass rusher added to that defensive line. I still believe the Seahawks defensive line needs work, even after free agency. Michael Bennett is only signed for one year and Cliff Avril for only two. Red Bryant was much less effective in 2012 after a great season in 2011. Chris Clemons is 31 and coming off major knee surgery. Bruce Irvin, though entering just his second season, is already 26 and far from an elite player. Adding a couple young defensive linemen in the draft would be smart.
Malliciah Goodman has the type of length (6’4) that John Schneider loves in his defensive linemen. He is an above average edge rusher, with a mix of speed and power necessary to get to the passer on a consistent basis. He has a frame similar to Jason Jones and Michael Bennett, which leads one to wonder how Goodman could do in a role where he rotates between the tackle and end positions, like Jones and Bennett.
It isn’t unconceivable that in 2015, Michael Bennett, Cliff Avril, Red Bryant, and Chris Clemmons could all have moved on from the Seahawks. Adding a young player like Goodman with tons of athletic talent could help the Seahawks defense after losing many key pieces.

Round 5, Pick 158   Zaviar Gooden, OLB, Missouri, 6’2, 234
As I mentioned in part 1, the role of the weakside linebacker in 2013 is likely going to be reduced due to additions of players such as Antoine Winfield and Cliff Avril. Because of this, I think John Schneider will wait to take a linebacker until the mid rounds of the draft.
Zaviar Gooden is a linebacker with a ton of athletic talent that will be intriguing to the Seahawks. Gooden ran the fastest 40 time of all linebackers at the combine, in addition to the fastest cone drill, shuttle, second longest broad jump, and tied for the fifth most reps on the bench press of all linebackers. At 6’2, 234 with those measurables, Gooden is a player Schneider will drool over in the war room.

Round 6, Pick 195   Ryan Otten, TE, San Jose State, 6’5, 230
Zach Miller and Anthony McCoy both offer little in terms of speed and athleticism at the tight end position. One position I’d like to see the Seahawks target is an athletic ‘joker’ like Otten who can bring different skills to the Seahawks’ tight end group.
Otten has a lankier frame than either Miller or McCoy, and creates more separation from his defender than either of those two. He also is an above average route runner and displays a good catch radius. Otten is not the blocker that either of the other two is, but would be used as more of a receiver in the Seahawks offense.

Round 7, Pick 220   Mark Harrison, WR, Rutgers, 6’3, 231
By this point in the draft, the ‘Hawks would likely be looking for value picks. Harrison is a long receiver with a large catch radius, similar to Sidney Rice. He has the top-end speed to beat defensive backs deep, and is able to move inside to the slot as well. Harrison will have tough completion to make the roster as a rookie.

Round 7, Pick 231   Latavius Murray, RB, Central Florida, 6’3, 224
Latavius Murray isn’t quite the small, shifty scat back I suspect the ‘Hawks will target in the draft, but he possesses qualities that make me think he can be a quality NFL runner. He isn’t a super elusive athlete, but has straight line speed to run past defenders. He is a bigger back and if the ‘Hawks drafted him would likely be asked to play both halfback and fullback.

Round 7, Pick 241   Gary Walker, FS, Idaho, 5’11, 190
Walker is a small-school prospect with speed and athleticism. He would be able to compete to backup Earl Thomas.


Round 7, Pick 242   Jeremy Harris, CB, New Mexico State, 6’2, 181
Harris fits the mold of a big cornerback who can play press coverage. He would compete with Byron Maxwell for a spot on the roster. The Seahawks had a private visit with 

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

2013 NFL Draft Part 2: The Players


Pete Carroll and John Schneider have their own opinions on players that are often differing from the general consensus. Because of this it is very difficult to predict if the Seahawks will be interested in any particular player. Here are some players that could potentially fit in the positions mentioned in part one:

1)   Three Technique Defensive Tackle
Player Type: In Carroll’s three years in Seattle he has preferred size and run stuffing ability at three-technique. His two three techniques during his time, Brandon Mebane and Alan Branch, weight 311 and 325 pounds, respectively.

Sylvester Williams, North Carolina
 Brandon Williams, Missouri Southern State
Kawann Short, Purdue
Bennie Logan, Louisiana State
Jordan Hill, Penn State
Montori Hughes, Tennessee-Martin 
Nick Williams, Samford


2)     Offensive Tackle
Player Type: The Seahawks prefer run blocking maulers to pass blockers on the o-line. Breno Giacomini is known for his feistiness and effort, and offensive line coach Tom Cable loves players who play up until the whistle. James Carpenter was selected to play right tackle in 2011 because of his strength.

Menelik Watson, Florida State
Terron Armstead, Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Kyle Long, Oregon
Brennan Williams, North Carolina
Ricky Wagner, Wisconsin
Reid Fragel, Ohio State
Luke Marquardt, Azusa-Pacific

3)   Weakside Linebacker
Player Type: The Seahawks like fast, athletic players at linebacker. 40 times appear to be important to the Seahawks’ staff when picking linebackers, as both Bobby Wagner and Malcolm Smith run 40’s in the 4.4’s.

Alec Ogletree, Georgia
Arthur Brown, Kansas State
Khaseem Greene, Rutgers
Sio Moore, Connecticut
Zaviar Gooden, Missouri
Jelani Jenkins, Florida
Phillip Steward, Houston

4)   Interior Pass Rusher (“Jason Jones Role”)
Player Type: The ‘Jason Jones Role’ is basically a player that can play defensive end on base downs, or kick inside and play defensive tackle and rush the passer on passing downs. Jason Jones (now with the Lions), was a lanky 6’5”, 276 pounds. Michael Bennett, signed to replace Jones, is 6’4”, 274 pounds.

Datone Jones, UCLA
William Gholston, Michigan State
Malliciah Goodman, Clemson
Glenn Foster, Illinois
Quinton Dial, Alabama
Nick King, Oklahoma
Earl Okine, Florida

5)   Nickel/Slot Corner
Player Type: Pete Carroll likes his cornerbacks tall and strong to play press coverage. Every corner Carroll has drafted in Seattle has been at least 5’10, but he also signed 5’9 Antoine Winfield to play nickel corner. The Seahawks look for long (5’11+) cornerbacks outside, and quicker players to play inside at nickel.

Desmond Trufant, Washington +
Johnathan Banks, Mississippi State
Tyrann Mathieu, Louisiana State *
Sanders Commings, Georgia
Will Davis, Utah State
Jeremy Harris, New Mexico State
Tharold Simon, Louisiana State

+player can play outside or nickel
*player will be limited to nickel spot


6)   Quarterback
Player Type: The Seahawks want a player athletic enough to fit into the new read-option offense the Seahawks have been using, yet smart enough to spend as much time watching film as Russell Wilson. A blend between throwing ability, running ability, and brains will be necessary to back up Wilson.

EJ Manuel, Florida State
Matt Scott, Arizona
Zac Dysert, Miami (Ohio)
Jordan Rodgers, Vanderbilt
Sean Renfree, Duke
Ryan Aplin, Arkansas State
BJ Daniels, South Florida

7)   “Move” TE
Player Type: The “move” or “Joker” tight end is essentially a tight end that is half tight end, half wide receiver. The most notable “joker” in the NFL is the New England Patriots’ Aaron Hernandez, who at 6’1”, 245 pounds, can line up at tight end or in the slot. Usually a move TE has some ability to stretch the field and make yards after the catch.

Gavin Escobar, San Diego State
Jordan Reed, Florida
Ryan Otten, San Jose State
Joseph Fauria, UCLA
Mychal Rivera, Tennessee
Justice Cunningham, South Carolina
Brandon Ford, Clemson

8)   Free Safety
Player Type: To backup Earl Thomas, the Seahawks need a rangy free safety able to cover the deep middle third of the field. The free safety should fast, instinctual, and a sure tackler.

Kenny Vaccaro, Texas
Eric Reid, LSU
Baccari Rambo, Georgia
Shamarko Thomas, Syracuse
Duke Williams, Nevada
Gary Walker, Idaho

9)   Runningback/Returner
Player Type: The Seahawks need a third runningback with some speed and elusiveness to compliment Marshawn Lynch and Robert Turbin’s power running. Returning ability is a plus.

Giovani Bernard, North Carolina
Andre Ellington, Clemson
Stepfan Taylor, Stanford
Kerwynn Williams, Utah
Kenjon Barner, Oregon
Latavius Murray, Central Florida
Jawan Jamison, Rutgers

10)   Wide Receiver
Player Type: Pete Carroll and John Schneider both seem to prefer lengthy receivers and this draft is full of them. Pete Carroll likes his “touchdown makers” and will look for a receiver with athletic ability and college production.

Quinton Patton, Louisiana Tech
Aaron Dobson, Marshall
Mark Harrison, Rutgers
Charles Johnson, Grand Valley State
Tyrone Goard, Eastern Kentucky
Marcus Davis, Virginia Tech
Marquess Wilson, Washington State

Sunday, April 21, 2013

2013 NFL Draft Part 1: The Positions


With the first day of the 2013 NFL Draft just 5 days away, I still find myself questioning how Pete Carroll and John Schneider will prioritize positions and players almost daily.  Throughout their three seasons with the Seahawks, Carroll and Schneider have tipped their hat over what positions might be targeted in various ways. Just last year the Seahawks brought in mid-tier free agents (Barrett Rudd, Matt Flynn, Kregg Lumpkin) in positions they knew they would want to target in the draft, and then proceeded to draft players at those positions (Bobby Wagner, Russell Wilson, Robert Turbin). In 2011 Pete Carroll talked a lot about how they wanted to solidify the offensive line, and then went on to pick two linemen (James Carpenter, John Moffit). Last year, Carroll talked about how they wanted to add speed to their defense, and took two absurdly fast defenders (Bruce Irvin, Bobby Wagner).

Unfortunately, it often doesn't become clear over the hints Carroll and Schneider are releasing until after the draft. So, here is my best guess over how Carroll and Schneider will prioritize the positions in this year’s draft.

1)   Three Technique Defensive Tackle
Player Type: In Carroll’s three years in Seattle he has preferred size and run stuffing ability at three-technique. His two three techniques during his time, Brandon Mebane and Alan Branch, have weighed 311 and 325 pounds, respectively.

Situation: This is a similar situation to middle linebacker last year, as Seattle lost a solid yet replaceable starter (Alan Branch/David Hawthorne) and signed a veteran for close to minimum salary (Tony McDaniel/Barrett Rudd). Then, the Seahawks selected Utah State linebacker Bobby Wagner in the second round of the 2012 draft. Expect Seattle to look for a three-technique defensive tackle with one of their first picks in the 2013 draft, just as they did with middle linebacker in 2012.

Prediction: The Seahawks spend one of their first two picks on a defensive tackle to compete to start at the three technique.

2)   Offensive Tackle
Player Type: The Seahawks prefer run blocking maulers to unagressive pass blockers on the o-line. Breno Giacomini is known for his fiestiness and effort, and offensive line coach Tom Cable loves players who play up until the whistle. In 2011, James Carpenter was selected to play right tackle (now at guard) in 2011 because of his strength and 'bully attitude.' 

Situation: Breno Giacomini is likely to be the starter in 2013, but is a free agent after this year. While Giacomini is a solid starter at right tackle, his issues with personal fouls and tendency to end up on his back in pass blocking mean he isn’t likely to be given a long term contract after this year.

Prediction: The Seahawks draft an offensive tackle with one of their first two picks to succeed Giacomini in 2014.

3)   Weakside Linebacker
Player Type: The Seahawks like fast, athletic players at linebacker. 40 times appear to be important to the Seahawks’ staff when picking linebackers, as both Bobby Wagner and Malcolm Smith run 40’s in the 4.4’s.

Situation: The Weakside linebacker position figures to be a two-down spot in 2013, which would lower the need to draft one high in the draft. Expect a player to be drafted somewhere in the mid-rounds of the draft to compete with Malcolm Smith.

Prediction: A weakside linebacker is selected in day three to compete with Malcolm Smith.

4)   Rotating Defensive Lineman (“Jason Jones Role”)
Player Type: The ‘Jason Jones Role’ is basically a player that can play end on base downs, or kick inside on passing downs and push the pocket from the tackle position. Jason Jones (now with the Lions), was a lanky 6’5”, 276 pounds. Michael Bennett, signed to replace Jones, is 6’4”, 274 pounds.

Situation: While Michael Bennett figures to be and upgrade over Jones as both an early down end and pass down tackle, he is only on a one year deal and will be tough to resign. Greg Scruggs showed potential in 2012 as an interior rusher but needs to become a more consistent presence in pushing the pocket. The Seahawks would be smart to try and pick up someone to develop to take over as an interior rusher in 2014.

Prediction: A player is drafted on day three to rotate all around the defensive line.

5)   Cornerback
Player Type: Pete Carroll likes his cornerbacks tall and strong to play press coverage. Every corner Carroll has drafted during his time in Seattle has been at least 5’10, but he also signed 5’9 Antoine Winfield to play nickel corner. The Seahawks look for long (5’11+) cornerbacks outside, and smaller players are limited to the slot/nickel role in his defense.

Situation: Seattle’s three corners of Richard Sherman, Brandon Browner, and Winfield are considered the best trio in the NFL, but Winfield is on a one year deal and the future of the nickel position is at question. Additionally, Browner will also be a free agent in 2014 and the Seahawks could be looking to draft their future starter at right cornerback in this draft. Pete Carroll drafts a cornerback every year.

Prediction: The Seahawks pick a cornerback to provide depth in the third day of the draft.

6)   Quarterback
Player Type: The Seahawks want a player athletic enough to run the read-option elements of the Seahawks' offense, and commited enough to spend as much time watching film as Russell Wilson. A blend between throwing ability, running ability, and brains will be necessary to back up Wilson.

Situation: Russell Wilson is the starter in 2013, but with Matt Flynn headed to Oakland the Seahawks are in need of someone to compete with Brady Quinn and Josh Portis for the backup quarterback spot. Brady Quinn was signed because of his athleticism and dedication to the game, look for the same qualities in a quarterback drafted.

Prediction: An athletic and competitive backup quarterback is drafted early on day three.

7)   “Move/Joker" TE
Player Type: The “move” or “joker” tight end is essentially a tight end that is half tight end, half wide receiver. The most notable "joker" in the NFL is the New England Patriots’ Aaron Hernandez, who at 6’1”, 245 pounds, can line up at tight end or in the slot. Usually a move TE has some ability to stretch the field and make yards after the catch.

Situation: Both Zach Miller and Anthony McCoy are large blockers/possession receiver types. No player on the Seahawks roster figures to be a great fit as a joker. Kellen Winslow and Evan Moore were signed in attempt to fit this role, but neither worked out. Adding depth at the position through the draft is likely.

Prediction: A tight end with plus receiving abilities is selected in the beginning of day three to play as a joker.

8)   Free Safety
Player Type: To backup Earl Thomas, the Seahawks need a rangy free safety able to cover the deep middle third of the field. The free safety should be fast, instinctual, and a sure tackler.

Situation: While Seattle has three quality backup safeties (Jeron Johnson, Winston Guy, Chris Maragos), none offer the coverage abilities that Thomas has. Pete Carroll likes to draft a safety every year, and one with a similar skill-set to Earl Thomas seems like a need on the roster.

Prediction: One of Seattle’s four seventh round picks is spent on a rangy free safety.

9)   Runningback/Returner
Player Type: The Seahawks need a third runningback with some speed and elusiveness to compliment Marshawn Lynch and Robert Turbin’s power running. Returning ability is a plus.

Situation: When Leon Washington was cut, a need was created for a third runningback. Returning ability is an added benefit, but with players like Percy Harvin, Golden Tate, Will Blackmon, and Walter Thurmond having returning experience it isn't a necessity for a drafted runningback.

Prediction: Another of Seattle’s four seventh rounder’s is spent on a scatback/punt returner.

10)          Wide Receiver
Player Type: Pete Carroll and John Schneider both seem to prefer lengthy receivers and this draft is full of them. Pete Carroll likes his “touchdown makers” and will look for a receiver who is long, athletic and can score touchdowns in a variety of ways.

Situation: The Seahawks already have three small receivers who are unconventionally effective (Percy Harvin, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin). The Seahawks don’t need another undersized slot receiver, what they need is a receiver in the Sidney Rice mold (6’4, 202).

Prediction: The Seahawks find a value pick at receiver in the seventh round.

Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Draft Ideas



     

    Should the Seahawks draft a WR in this years draft? I think not. I think that our biggest weakness as a team is our defensive line. Sidney Rice, Golden Tate and Doug Baldwin all gained strong chemistry with Russell Wilson by the end of the year, and with that young crew things can only keep getting better (without injury). And Zach Miller proved to be a viable option in the passing game as well. This leads me back to the defensive line. Last year we only had one consistently good pass rusher in Chris Clemons and he tore his ACL and will most likely miss a good chunk of next year. That leaves a raw Bruce Irvin as our only pass rusher, and he's so small that a double team will shut him down. Although guys like Red Bryant, Alan Branch and Brandon Mebane are all complete beasts against the run, their pass rush is marginal at best. This leads me back to thinking we need more strength there. One of my optimal draft picks for the Seattle Seahawks is DT Bennie Logan out of LSU. Bennie logan stands at 6'3 300 ibs, so the perfect size for the 3 technique. Hes projected to go in the fourth, but from watching him play I think he would be a very strong 3rd round pick. The reason I go this deep is because there are guys like Sylvester Williams and Alec Ogletree who would in my opinion be great picks for the Hawks, there's no guarantee that they will even fall to us.

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

The Big Nickel





The Seahawks Week 8 loss to the Detroit Lions was largely due to a 9 reception, 100 yard, 2 touchdown day from Titus Young. Their Week 12 loss to the Miami Dolphins was one where Davone Bess had 7 receptions for 129 yards. Even in wins to Chicago and Buffalo, Brandon Marshall  and Stevie Johnson recorded 10 receptions for 165 yards and 8 receptions for 115 yards respectively.